A Practical Approach to Modeling Managerial Risk Aversion in Real Option Valuation for Early Stage Investments
نویسنده
چکیده
In this work, we build on a previous real options approach that utilizes managerial cash-flow estimates to value early stage project investments, but accounting for managerial risk aversion. We introduce a market sector indicator, which is assumed to be correlated to a tradeable market index, which, through a mapping function, drives and replicates the cash-flow estimates. The mapping allows us to link the cash-flow estimates to many theoretical real options frameworks which currently can not be applied in practice. Through indifference pricing we are able to model the effect of managerial risk aversion for any given set of cash-flow estimates.
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